WAPOR
WAPOR 72nd Annual Conference draft programme
| Day | Time | Room | Sessions |
| Sun May 19 | 07:45-09:00 | AAPOR Hotel - Grand Ballroom | Joint Plenary AAPOR/WAPOR: Populism Around the World |
| Sun May 19 | 09:15-10:45 | AAPOR Hotel - Willow East | Joint WAPOR/AAPOR Session on Public Opinion & Democracy |
| Analysis of the Correlation between Nonresponse in Surveys and Political Participation Mikaela Jarnbert Liberal Voting Behavior of Middle-Eastern Migrants in Germany: Self-selection in Migration or Political Self-interest? Mariel Leonard NY Times Upshot/Siena College Research Institute: Analyzing Question Sequence of Horserace and Candidate Favorability Don Levy O Canada: An Analysis of Canadian Public Opinion in 2017-2018 Kathleen Devlin Democracy Derailed or Fulfilled? How Ballot Measure Wording Affected California's Proposition 6 Jenny Holland | |||
| Sun May 19 | 09:15-10:45 | AAPOR Hotel - Simcoe-Dufferi | Joint WAPOR/AAPOR Session on Cross-National Surveys |
| Are Policy Preferences Really Motivated by Economic Self-Interest? Personal Finances and Attitudes Towards Redistribution in 30 Countries Joseph Cohen Can Survey Characteristics Help? Explaining Inconsistencies in the Education Distributions of Ten Cross-national Surveys Verena Ortmanns State of Surveys Report-Web Survey Creators and Respondents Worldwide Zewei Zong Survey Item Durations: Using Past Time Data to Predict Future Interview Length Davit Tsabutashvili The Opportunities and Challenges of Surveying Users at Facebook Gregory Holyk Trust in Science Around the Globe: What is Driving Variations in Trust & Perceptions of Science? Orin Puniello | |||
| Sun May 19 | 11:05-12:35 | Baker | Joint WAPOR/AAPOR Session: Cross National Surveys |
| Item Nonresponse and Power: The Impact of Minority Status on Item Nonresponse across Countries Katharina Meitinger Conducting Monitoring and Evaluation for Preventing Violent Extremism Hayk Gyuzalyan Weighting the night away? Addressing daytime interviewing and unit nonresponse in a national survey Laura Silver A Multi-Country Cognitive Evaluation of the 2016 WHO Verbal Autopsy Questionnaires Paul Scanlon | |||
| Sun May 19 | 11:05-12:35 | Carlyle | Joint WAPOR/AAPOR Session: Public Opinion |
| Diversification, Inequality and Poverty as Related to Trust in Eastern European and Eurasian Democratic Institutions: A Multilevel Longitudinal Study David Wutchiett Political Attitudes, Macroeconomic Context, and Attitudes toward Redistributive Public Policies Timothy Gravelle Socialist deliberative democracy in China: Attitudes and behaviors of Chinese Officials Kaiping Zhang Presidential and prime ministerial approval ratings: honeymoons and mid-term blues (a longitudinal and cross national analysis) Mark Gill | |||
| Sun May 19 | 11:05-12:35 | Scott | Results of the AAPOR/WAPOR Task Force (TF) on Quality of Comparative Surveys |
| Survey Documentation in 3MC Surveys Irina Tomescu Questionnaire Development in 3MC Surveys Alisa Schoua-Glusberg Using the Total Survey Error Approach to Assess and Reduce Comparison Error in Cross-National and Cross-Cultural Surveys Tom Smith Overall Goals of 3MC Research Timothy P. Johnson Error Sources and Quality in 3MC Sampling and Field Implementation Michael Robbins | |||
| Sun May 19 | 11:05-12:35 | Windsor | Round Table I |
| Democracy and Democratic Values: Dynamics, Measurement, Forecast Christian Haerpfer | |||
| Sun May 19 | 12:35-13:45 | Mountbatten Salon | Lunch (WAPOR Registrations Only) |
| Sun May 19 | 12:35-14:00 | Mountbatten Lane | Poster Session: Methodological Challenges and Improvements |
| Survey climate in Taiwan Hung-Chia Chen Dilemmas of Survey workers' experiences using digital data collection methods in public health field surveys in Kenya: results from a health and demographic surveillance system in the Lake Victoria Region Peter Larson | |||
| Sun May 19 | 12:35-14:00 | Mountbatten Lane | Poster Session: Public Opinion and Democracy |
| Democracy under Threat? Newest Survey Evidence Speaking Kseniya Kizilova The Public Perception of Democratic Participation: Roles in Reducing Crimes and Conflicts and Enhancing Tolerance Among Ethiopian People Brhanu Derbew Full democracy with limited press freedom in Liberia Marvin Samuel Does Social Media Matter in Developing Democracies? Examining its Impact on Citizen Political Participation and Expression in Uganda Juma Kasadha What is the State of Institutional Trust in Latin America? A Longitudinal Multilevel analysis Luis Patricio Pena Ibarra Exploring nuances in Britons' opinions of Brexit and views of the European Union Courtney Johnson | |||
| Sun May 19 | 12:35-14:00 | Mountbatten Lane | Poster Session: Social Media, Big Data, Sentiment Analysis, and Emerging Technologies |
| The role of inter-ethnic online interactions in reconciling post-conflict societies in Africa. Evidence from Uganda. Juma Kasadha Institutional trust and social movements in North Africa, West Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa Nadia Rezgui Stakeholder Research in Fragile and Conflict-Affected Countries Svetlana Markova Rethinking Local Governance in the Africa's Developing democracies: A Big Data Perspective for East Africa Juma Kasadha The Surveys on the Japanese National Character: Project History and Some Results from Recent Surveys Tadahiko Maeda | |||
| Sun May 19 | 14:00-15:15 | Mountbatten Lane | Keynote Address: Citizens' Assessments of Electoral Democracy - André Blais |
| Sun May 19 | 15:15-15:45 | Mountbatten Lane | Coffee Break |
| Sun May 19 | 15:45-17:00 | Baker | Methodology I |
| Improving self reported measures of news and reality-TV exposure Yariv Tsfati Acquiescence Bias? Or a Perceived Middle Ground? Yang Meng-Li Data Collection Mode Change: Going from F2F to CATI - The case of Greece Carsten Broich Interviewer Training Programs of Multinational Survey Programs Mapped to the Total Survey Error Henning Silber Theory and Practice of Multi-Country and Multi-Group Stakeholder Research. Eugene Kritski | |||
| Sun May 19 | 15:45-17:00 | Carlyle | Public Opinion I |
| Who wants to be a citizen scientist? Identifying the overall democratic potential of citizen science and target segments in Switzerland and Germany Tobias Fuechslin Measuring Pe?a Nieto's approval with second generation statistical model J. Guadalupe Cárdenas Sánchez Investigating Why Western Europeans Accept Muslims, but Support at Least Some Restrictions on Muslim Women's Religious Clothing Jonathan Evans The Role of Intergroup Contact, Threat Perceptions, Media Exposure and Contextual Factors in Shaping Attitudes toward Refugees and Support for Refugee Policy Rico Neumann Public Trust in Election Polls: A Study of the 2018 Mexican Presidential Campaign Alejandro Moreno | |||
| Sun May 19 | 15:45-17:00 | Scott | Social Media I |
| Third Generation of Agent Based Models in Opinion Research - Path to Quantitative Predictions Pawel Sobkowicz Validity and Reliability Challenges when Extracting Public Opinion Trends from Social Media Expressions Michael Elasmar Government communication, public interest and image politics: A study on the Brazilian health policies on social media to strike Aedes aegypti Edna Miola | |||
| Sun May 19 | 15:45-17:00 | Windsor | Round Table II |
| Democracy 3.0: Polling Innovations for Public Policy Doug Miller | |||
| Mon May 20 | 09:00-10:15 | Baker | Methodology II |
| HUMAN Surveys: A Data Management Resource for Comparative Public Opinion Andrew Klassen Thumbs Sideways?: Improving the Design of Thumb-friendly Scales for Online Surveys Frances Barlas Attitudes toward and Experiences of Surveys in Korea Jibum Kim Field-work Realities of Survey Interviewers in Lithuania: Links to Survey Quality Inga Gaizauskaite | |||
| Mon May 20 | 09:00-10:15 | Carlyle | Political Behavior I |
| The Effectiveness of Manipulating Issue Attitudes on Campaign Posters: An Experimental Study on Online Political Expression Miao Xu How Does Age Affect Views on Social Issues Such as Abortion and Same-Sex Marriage in Europe? Scott Gardner Shades of Purple: Social Values Patterning by Urbanity in Canada David Jamieson Predicting Attitudes toward Out-groups in Singapore: Beyond National Identity Benjamin Detenber | |||
| Mon May 20 | 09:00-10:15 | Gerrard | Social Media II |
| Sentiment Analysis of Reddit Posts for Real Time Improvement of Election Predictions Bryant Hwang Is social media use the factor causing decline of traditional media credibility? Weiying Shi Using Social Media to Predict Public Opinion: Case Studies on the Environment and Immigration Vanessa Killeen A four-country comparison of digital repertories in politics Kwansik Mun | |||
| Mon May 20 | 09:00-10:15 | Scott | Public Opinion II |
| Democratic Discontent in Western Europe and Endorsement of Russia's Disinformation about Ukraine Erik Nisbet Did Brexit need a Peace Poll? Colin Irwin Using in-depth interviews to uncover the psyche and values relating to governance Pam Fang Descending into alternative realities: the increasing prevalence of looking-glass perception and the fragmentation of U.S. opinion climate Tamas Bodor European Public Opinion about Climate Change in the Wake of the 2015 Paris Agreement: A Multilevel Analysis Rico Neumann | |||
| Mon May 20 | 09:00-10:15 | Windsor | Round Table III |
| Media Polls: Pollsters and Their Media Clients Discuss Challenges and Successes Doug Miller | |||
| Mon May 20 | 10:15-10:30 | Mountbatten Lane | Coffee Break |
| Mon May 20 | 10:30-11:30 | Carlyle | Featured WAPOR Panel II:Wealth, Jobs, Freedom and Movement through a Global Lens |
| Wealth, Jobs, Freedom and Movement Through a Global Lens Neli Esipova | |||
| Mon May 20 | 10:30-11:30 | Gerrard | Featured WAPOR Panel I:Public Opinion and Democracy |
| Public Opinion and Democracy: Friends or Foe? Vox Populi - Vox Dei? Sir Robert Worcester Public Opinion and Democracy in Indonesia; A Case Study of Joko Widodo Presidency Sukawarsini Djelantik Democracy or Authoritarian Rule - a global comparison Johnny Heald | |||
| Mon May 20 | 10:30-11:30 | Scott | Featured WAPOR Panel III:When Context is Relevant to Understand Global Public Opinion |
| Bridging the gap between perceiving and experiencing corruption Ricardo Gonzalez ROLE OF GOVERNMENT AND POLITICAL BEHAVIOR IN DIFFERENT CONTRASTING ECONOMIES: A PUBLIC OPINION PERSPECTIVE Francisco Abundis Connecting the dots: What does personal experience with health care have to do with organizational health system preferences? Ricardo Gonzalez The origins of support of non-traditional post-partisan candidates: An initial look Marco Morales Anti-Immigrant Sentiments against Co-Ethnics: Changing National Identity in South Korea Jaesok Son | |||
| Mon May 20 | 11:45-13:00 | Baker | Methodology III |
| The Diffusion of an Innovation: Survey Research, 1936-2018 Tom W Smith Experiments on Item Formatting in the Australian Values Survey Benjamin Phillips Assessing the performance of propensity score methods for estimating third-party presence effect in observational data from complex surveys Su-hao Tu Experiments with 'Loss Framing' Verbiage in Survey Introductions to Raise Response Rates Paul Lavrakas Measurement of Social Generalised Trust: a Gap Between Conceptual and Operational Definitions Inga Gaizauskaite | |||
| Mon May 20 | 11:45-13:00 | Carlyle | News, Media I |
| Tehran's people pattern of media consumption, a comparison between men & women Abdolhossein Alimadadi What is the most effective uncertainty in agenda setting theory? : Explicating the concept of uncertainty in need for orientation and verifying the explanatory power in media effects Seohyun An Media Use and Public Perceptions of Forensic Evidence Paul Brewer Making Realworld Predictions from Longitudinal Multicountry Research Trends Doug Miller | |||
| Mon May 20 | 11:45-13:00 | Gerrard | Public Opinion III |
| The Impact of Religion on Egypt's Democratic Experience Nora Garas Giving voice to the Iranian people: Introduction of VoxIran, largest databank of representative Iranian polls Amir Farmanesh The brazilian perception of democracy from an age perspective Marielli Bittencourt Responding to Voters' Dissatisfaction With Government Steven Kull | |||
| Mon May 20 | 11:45-13:00 | Scott | Political Behavior II |
| Does Public Infrastructure Investment Earn Votes? Experimental evidence from Madrid River Park Enrique Garcia-Viñuela A multidimensional model of measuring and evaluating participation in young democracies. The role of new media - the Romanian case Dan Sultanescu Dynamics of Citizens' News Consumption during Pre-Campaign and Campaign Phases in the German Federal Election 2017 Lea Gorski The presidential campaign of Sergio Fajardo in Colombia. A case analysis Alvaro Duque Afghan Futures: Polling Results in Afghanistan's Most Recent Elections Matthew Warshaw | |||
| Mon May 20 | 13:00-14:00 | Mountbatten Salon | Lunch |
| Mon May 20 | 14:00-15:15 | Baker | Methodology IV |
| Comparing Alternative Within-Household Sampling Methods in Face-to-Face Survey Research: Is Probability Selection Ideal? J. Daniel Montalvo I [Don't] Think We're Alone Now: Third-Party Presence in European Face-to-Face Surveys Stacy Pancratz Managing Non-response Errors in Exit Poll Through Experiment: Georgian Case Study Masahiko Aida Understanding mode switching and non-response patterns Alexandru Cernat | |||
| Mon May 20 | 14:00-15:15 | Carlyle | News, Media II |
| Exposure to Gendered Framing and Public Opinion: The Role of Gendered Constructions in the International Arena Yossi David The relevance of different levels of trust for public opinion formation Ilka Jakobs Determining Access To Independent Media Through Audience Measurement Data Tavian MacKinnon Media impacts on the shaping of political attitudes. Analysis of the effect of the 2018 Mexican electoral campaign on political disaffection from the model O-S-R-O-R Carlos Muniz | |||
| Mon May 20 | 14:00-15:15 | Gerrard | Public Opinion IV |
| Online sharing, political extremity and reduced network interaction: An imagined audience approach Min-Hsin Su Land Supply Debate in Hong Kong: The hypocrisy of public consultation in an undemocratic society Chit-Fai Edward Tai Elaborating the Effect of Political Scandal Exposure: Information Scanning, Information Seeking, Evaluation of Officials and Support Intention in Mainland China Yansong Zhang ABORTION: RIGHTS AND ATTITUDES Diana Penago Vasquez Trust in Government Statistics in Korea Jibum Kim | |||
| Mon May 20 | 14:00-15:15 | Scott | Political Behavior III |
| THE MEXICAN VOTER: ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR'S EMERGENCE, FALL AND RESURGENCE Francisco Abundis E-Transparency Policies in the Brazilian National Congress: Can legislative bills change a closed political culture? Francisco Paulo Jamil Almeida Marques Chat Apps and Affective Polarization in Japan, South Korea and the United States Hernando Rojas Increasing the Misreporting Levels of Induced Abortion in Turkey: Any Social Desirability Bias? Ismet Koc Equality or economic growth? A quantitative analysis of public preferences for welfare state equality versus free market prosperity Jonathan Kelley | |||
| Mon May 20 | 14:00-15:15 | Windsor | Round Table IV |
| Peer-to-peer advice on fundraising/business models for longitudinal studies Doug Miller | |||
| Mon May 20 | 15:15-15:45 | Mountbatten Lane | Coffee Break |
| Mon May 20 | 15:45-17:00 | Baker | Methodology V |
| Religious Change around the World, 1991-2018 Tom W Smith The accuracy of pre-electoral poll aggregations in different political contexts Fabricio Vasselai Detection and use of data on weekly, monthly cyclical changes of the accessible population Andrei Veikher Understanding Change In Time Of Measurement Error Using Longitudinal Multitrait Multierror Alexandru Cernat Does public support for the welfare state translate into support for the environmental state?: Multilevel evidence from the European Social Survey Kirils Makarovs | |||
| Mon May 20 | 15:45-17:00 | Carlyle | Best Practices |
| If You Take the Morning After Pill In the Afternoon, Does It Still Work? A Case Study on the Importance of Focus Groups Kate Vasiloff Forecasting Employment and GDP Data Using Consumer Sentiment: An analysis in 24 countries Marcus Maher Role of Research in Building Social Participation in the Context of the IKEA Consumer Campaign: Climate Action Starts At Home Eugene Kritski Inequality Does Not Impair Subjective Health: Europe, 2003-2016 M.D.R. Evans Is family well-being still the most important motive in the decision to move Hynek Jerabek | |||
| Mon May 20 | 15:45-17:00 | Gerrard | Public Opinion V |
| We don't see them counting, we just get it from the news: A mixed methods analysis of Canadians attitudes and concerns about the electoral process Anais Bertrand-Dansereau Investigating the Legitimacy of Survey and Public Opinion Research Timothy Johnson Understanding democratic legitimacy in Peru: It is the economy stupid? Jorge Aragon Bordering on the Edge: Attitudes Toward Immigration in California Randall Thomas The Evolution of Regime Publics: Understanding Supporters of Democracy and Authoritarianism in Latin America Alejandro Moreno | |||
| Mon May 20 | 15:45-17:00 | Scott | Political Behavior IV |
| Inequality and Electoral Abstention in Latin America: A Multilevel Exploration Federica Sanchez Staniak Whom to Blame? Assessing the Consequences of Financial Crisis under Authoritarian Media Environment Evgeniia Mitrokhina We did not vote for this government: dynamics of electoral absenteeism and paternalistic contract in Russia Yulia Baskakova Applying a Behavioural-Science Approach to Predict Differential Voter Turnout and Impact on Popular Vote Darrell Bricker Political Beliefs in Europe: A Belief Network Analysis Approach Paulina Tabery | |||
| Tue May 21 | 09:00-10:15 | Baker | WAPOR ASIA council meeting |
| Tue May 21 | 09:00-10:15 | Gerrard | New Sources |
| New Regulation Approach for Civic Communication's Fake News in Science and Technology Area Wenkai Jin One-sided or Balanced? How Political Attitudes and Opinions in User Comments Influence News Selection in Social Media Claudia Wilhelm Entrepreneurs Use of Mass Media in Oman to Influence Public Opinion: A National Survey Hosni Nasr The Sources of Public Attitudes toward Afghan Security Forces in the War against the Taliban Karl Kaltenthaler | |||
| Tue May 21 | 09:00-10:15 | Scott | Featured Panel: Democracy Today: Dynamics and Trends of Popular Support for Democracy (part I) |
| From Authoritarian Personality to Authoritarian Reflex: Evolving Views of an Enduring Phenomenon Ronald Inglehart Sources of Political Regime Support: New Comparative Evidence from the World Values Survey Christian Haerpfer Trust and Trustworthiness in National Governance Pippa Norris | |||
| Tue May 21 | 10:15-10:30 | Mountbatten Lane | Coffee Break |
| Tue May 21 | 10:30-11:30 | Carlyle | Featured Panel: Survey Research on Subjective Well-being: Cross-National Polls |
| Well-being across the Globe Neli Esipova Measuring material determinants of happiness in later life Aigul Zabirova Voice of Public: perception of Central Asian countries Yuri Bakaloff Subjective well-being: Eurasian Monitor of Post-Soviet Countries Tatiana Karabchuk | |||
| Tue May 21 | 10:30-11:30 | Gerrard | WAPOR-ESOMAR-CRIC SESSION: Accuracy of polls in Canada |
| Canada polling in a global context Jon Puleston Problematic Polling Conducted During the 2017 Calgary Election Christopher Adams A failure of the polls, a late campaign swing, or else? The Quebec 2018 election Claire Durand | |||
| Tue May 21 | 10:30-11:30 | Scott | Featured Panel: Democracy Today: Dynamics and Trends of Popular Support for Democracy (part II) |
| Experts Versus the Public: Socioeconomic Bias in Perceptions of Electoral Integrity Andrew Klassen Self-right ideological placement in seven democracies: A comparatice mass-elite analysis Hendrik Kotze The Influence of Media Use on Different Modes of Political Participation in China: Political Trust as the Mediating Factor Hongna Miao Migrant Hygge: Feeling at home in a cold climate Pippa Norris and Bi Puranen Delivering experiences that count: Global survey results and insights on digital citizen services Tanya Whitehead | |||
| Tue May 21 | 10:30-11:30 | Windsor | Round Table V |
| Winning back public trust in polling: Can becoming a more purposeful profession help? Doug Miller | |||
| Tue May 21 | 11:45-13:00 | Mountbatten Salon | WAPOR-ESOMAR-CRIC SESSION: Challenges of public opinion research in Canada |
| Tue May 21 | 11:45-13:00 | Windsor | Round Table VI |
| WAPOR Chapters: Reports from the Regions Doug Miller | |||
| Tue May 21 | 13:00-14:00 | Mountbatten Salon | Lunch |
| Tue May 21 | 14:00-15:15 | Carlyle | Challenges in Cross-National Research |
| What Do They Remember? Probing for Recall in Philippines, Kenya and El Salvador on Employment and Earnings Using Cognitive Interviews for USAID's Youth Workforce DevelopmLauent (WFD) Programs Mousumi Sarkar How Remote Mobile Surveys in Post-Mugabe Zimbabwe Provided Valuable Election Insights Tavian MacKinnon Analyzing the influence of non-observable and observable interviewer characteristics on measurement error: Evidence from Zambia P. Linh Nguyen | |||
| Tue May 21 | 14:00-15:15 | Gerrard | WAPOR-ESOMAR-CRIC SESSION: Overcoming challenges and assuring the future of public opinion polls in Canada |
| Tue May 21 | 14:00-15:15 | Scott | Electoral Polls II |
| Election Polling in Non-Liberal Democracies: The Case of Iran Ebrahim Mohseni-Cheraghlou Electoral Polls in Emerging/Incomplete Democracies in Sub-Saharan Africa Raphal Ngava ELECTORAL POLLS IN EMERGING DEMOCRACIES - A CASE STUDY OF ELECTORAL POLLING IN KENYA Kelvin Mungai Its do or die for pollsters in Africa Angela Ambitho | |||
| Tue May 21 | 14:00-15:15 | Windsor | Round Table VII |
| How academic and private pollsters can cooperate better to advance our profession Doug Miller | |||
| Tue May 21 | 15:15-17:00 | Mountbatten Lane | WAPOR Members Business Meeting and Coffee Break |