WAPOR 71st Annual Conference draft programme

Wed June 2709:00-17:00Council Meeting
Wed June 2709:00-12:00Workshop Sessions I (Anfa and Tingis rooms)
Wed June 2712:00-13:30RestaurantLunch (for paid workshop registrants only)
Wed June 2713:30-16:30Workshop Sessions II (Anfa and Tingis rooms)
Wed June 2714:00-17:00IJPOR Editorial Board Meeting
Wed June 2716:00-18:00Registration Desk opens
Wed June 2718:00-19:30Salon MarocainWelcome Reception
Thu June 2808:00-17:00Registration Desk open
Thu June 2809:00-10:15BahiaSocial Media and Public Opinion l
Session Chair: Franziska Marquart (Amsterdam School of Communication Research)
News Engagement as a Metric for Public Opinion: Tone and Topics in Popular Facebook Headlines 2012-2016
Trevor Diehl (University of Vienna)

Can a ‘Like’ Change Partisan News Selection? The moderating role of social endorsements in partisan selective exposure to social media news in the 2017 federal German election campaign
Cornelia Mothes (TU Dresden)
Jakob Ohme (University of Southern Denmark)

How to measure relevance? Dimensions of a critical concept for the study of networked public opinion
Andres Shoai (San Pablo CEU University - CONVERED Project)

Opinion Leader Relationship and Subject Participation Tendency—Coupling Analysis of Weibo Hot Events
Hanxiao Wang

Attitudinal Gap? Social Media Use and the Uneven Development of Political Disaffection
Pedro Fierro (Adolfo Ibanez University)
Patricio Aroca (Adolfo Ibanez University)

Thu June 2809:00-10:15FedalaTrust
Session Chair: Frits Spangenberg (Motivaction International)
Double Vision: Second Screening and Trust in the Media
Barbara Kaye (University of Tennessee)
Thomas Johnson (University of Texas - Austin)

The role of bandwagon heuristics: The perceptions of credibility on Facebook
Porismita Borah (Washington State University)

Individualized and generalized political trust - analyzing everyday dynamics in political trust
Fabian Thomas (U of Koblenz-Landau)
Lukas Otto (Amsterdam School of Communication Research)
Michaela Maier (U of Koblenz-Landau)
Yariv Tsfati (U of Haifa)

Thu June 2809:00-10:15LixusPublic Opinion in the Trump Era
Session Chair: Ian McAllister (Australian National University)
The Case of the 2016 U.S. Pre-election Polls Revisited: Evidence for the “Shy Trump” Voter Phenomenon and Differential Non-response
Tamas Bodor (University of Wisconsin - Stevens Point)

Jerusalem in the American Public Opinion Polls …before Trump and After
Samir Abu_Rumman (Gulf Opinions )

A Friend Who Was Supposed To Lose: How Donald Trump Was Portrayed In The Russian Media
Anton Kazun (Higher School of Economics)
Anastasia Kazun (Higher School of Economics)

Racism in the Trump Era: A Reverse Spiral of Silence
Margarita Orozco (University of Wisconsin - Madison)

Thu June 2809:00-10:15TingisPanel: Trend Research
Session Chair: Liz Nelson (Archive of Market and Social Research)
Trend Research
Liz Nelson (Archive of Market & Social Research)

Who trusts the pollsters?
Sir Robert Worcester (Ipsos MORI / KCL)
Roger Mortimore (Ipsos MORI / KCL)
Mark Gill (King's College London)

Thu June 2810:15-10:45Coffee Break
Thu June 2810:45-12:00BahiaPopulism
Session Chair: Ayellet Pelled (University of Wisconsin - Madison)
Support for Democracy and the Populist Wave
Roberto Foa (University of Melbourne)
Christopher Claassen (University of Glasgow)
Yascha Mounk (Harvard University)

Socially-mediated right-wing populism: an analysis of Golden Dawn’s cyber-rhetoric and its politics of online visibility
Katerina Diamantaki (Deree-The American College of Greece/Open University of Cyprus, Assistant Professor)
Dionysis Panos (Cyprus University of Technology, Assistant Professor)
Manos Takas (Open University of Cyprus, Advanced Media Institute)

Populism and Disenfranchisement: the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
Jill Darling (University of Southern California)
Margaret Gatz (University of Southern California)

Development of Implicit Measures for Populist Attitudes
Michaela Maier (University of Koblenz-Landau)
Ines Vogel (University of Koblenz-Landau)
Clara Christner (University of Koblenz-Landau)
Erik Tillman (DePaul University)
Manfred Schmitt (University of Koblenz-Landau)

Populist Partisans’ Biased Information Processing and its Effects on Attitude Strength
Lea Christin Gorski (University of Koblenz-Landau)
Michaela Maier (University of Koblenz-Landau)

Thu June 2810:45-12:00Fedala(Non-)Response, Representativeness and Coverage
Session Chair: Johnny Heald (ORB International)
Surveying Internally Displaced Persons in Ukraine
Rakesh Sharma (IFES)

Non-response reduction in DHS surveys: Follow-up fieldwork in Turkey-DHS 2013
Tugba Adali (Hacettepe University)
Melike Sarac (Hacettepe University)
Alanur Cavlin (Hacettepe University)
Ahmet Sinan Turkyilmaz (Hacettepe University)

Examining Item Nonresponse on Three Levels: Question, Respondent, and Interviewer Characteristics
Henning Silber (GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences)
Joss Roßmann (GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences)
Tobias Gummer (GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences)
Kai W. Weyandt (GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences)

Nonresponse bias in a population-based statewide crime and victimization survey: The impact of cellular phones versus landlines
Eileen Avery (University of Missouri)
Joan Hermsen (University of Missouri)

Thu June 2810:45-12:00LixusUnderstanding and Improving Measurements
Session Chair: Ibrahim Saleh (Nile University in Egypt)
Can humor reduce over reporting of news exposure?
Yariv Tsfati (University of Haifa)
Nir Bronstein (University of Haifa)

Why Respondents Lie on Filter Questions: Survey attitudes and determinants of strategic survey-taking
Jonathan Forney (Forcier Consulting)
Justin Gengler (Qatar University)
Mark Tessler (University of Michigan)
Russel Lucas (Michigan State University)

Examining the relationship of e-health literacy with health knowledge and medical conditions among older adults
Fiona Chew (Syracuse University)

Measurement error in self- and proxy reports of educational qualifications: A validation using administrative data
Caroline Roberts (University of Lausanne)
Fiona Müller (Swiss Federal Statistical Office)

The “Yeah, Whatever” Phenomenon: Poll Question Complexity and Don’t Know and Mildly Affirmative Responses
Mark Harmon (University of Tennessee)
Robert Muenchen (University of Tennessee)
Barbara Kaye (University of Tennessee)

Thu June 2810:45-12:00TingisImmigration
Session Chair: Michael Traugott (University of Michigan)
Public opinion and migration: the case study from Slovenian perspective
Ziva Broder (University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences)
Simona Zavratnik (University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences)
Rebeka Falle Zorman (University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences)

National Immigration Discourses and Individual Attitudes toward Ethnic Out-Groups
Christian Czymara (University of Cologne)

Hunkering Down Like a Turtle? The Effect of Ethnic Diversity, Social Capital and Intergroup Contact on Attitudes toward Immigrants during the European Refugee Crisis
Rico Neumann (University of Washington)

Chile and the new immigrants: elements associated with the rejection of the arrival of foreigners
Andrés Scherman (Universidad Diego Portales)
Nicolle Etchegaray (Universidad Diego Portales)

Thu June 2812:00-13:30RestaurantLunch
Thu June 2813:30-14:45FedalaPublic Opinion and Young People
Session Chair: Margarita Orozco (University of Wisconsin Madison)
Ana Julia Bonzanini Bernardi (Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul)
Andressa Liegi Vieira Costa (ISCSP – Universidade de Lisboa)

Political socialization and connected youth: analyzing the values of political tolerance of young people on the Internet in southern Brazil
Jennifer Azambuja de Morais (Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul)
Marcello Baquero (Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul)
Ana Julia Bonzanini Bernardi (Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul)

The challenges of conducting a longitudinal youth panel survey in Gulf countries: UAE as example
Tatiana Karabchuk (UAE University )

How the use of the social media can increase the political participation of young people in Morocco?
Mhammed Abderebbi (Hassan II University of Casablanca)

Ana Julia Bonzanini Bernardi (Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul)

Thu June 2813:30-14:45LixusIssues and Contexts Around the World
Session Chair: Frank Mangold (University of Hohenheim)
Public Opinion Research in African Countries
Charles Nnabugwu (The Khana Group)
Rosie Emerson (The Khana Group)

The Inequality I see and the Inequality I prefer. Perception and Preferences on Income Inequality in Chile
Patricio Navia (New York University)
Francisca Lisbona (Universidad Diego Portales)

A Budget of the People, by the People, for the People: an opinion-policy congruence analysis of EU budget allocations
Matteo Pittiglio (University School for Advanced Studies IUSS Pavia)

"Open Carry Will Give Women and Old People a Chance": A Comparative Analysis of Attitudes toward Gun Regulation between the United States and South Africa
Ayellet Pelled (University of Wisconsin - Madison)
Robyn Baragwanath (University of Wisconsin - Madison)

Thu June 2813:30-14:45TingisMethods
Session Chair: Tamas Bodor (University of Wisconsin-Stevens Point)
How to Make Experiments in Public Opinion Research Replicable – A Case Study of Online Political Stock Markets (OPSM) in Germany
Inga Brentel (University of Dusseldorf)
Olaf Jandura (University of Dusseldorf)

Eight seconds from Opine to Click – Respondent and Question Effects on Response Times in a large-scale Web Panel
Oliver Serfling (Faculty of Society and Economics, Rhine-Waal University of Applied Sciences)

Assessing the representativeness of the world’s first probability based on-line cross-national panel
Gianmaria Bottoni (City University of London )
Rory Fitzgerald (City University of London )

How the On-Spot Translation Effects the Quality of Birth Date Data in 2013 Turkey Demographic and Health Survey?
Melike Saraç (Hacettepe University Institute of Population Studies)
İsmet Koç (Hacettepe University Institute of Popuation Studies)

Leveraging Commitment to Influence Respondent Behavior
David Vannette (Stanford University and Qualtrics Methodology Lab)

Thu June 2814:45-15:30Coffee Break
Thu June 2815:30-16:45BahiaDigital and Social Media
Session Chair: Michael Xenos (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
The influence of journalistic content and context as well as audience’s characteristics on news selection on Facebook
Claudia Wilhelm (University of Erfurt)
Ines Engelmann (Friedrich Schiller University Jena)

A field investigation of digital divide: Evidence from a comparison between urban and rural primary schools in China
Xiaojing Li (Shanghai Jiao Tong University)

Social Media Coverage of Immigration in Europe in a Cross-Country Perspective
Anu Masso (ETH Zürich / University of Tartu)
Rajesh Sharma (University of Tartu)

The Milky Divided Ideologies: Social Media Language Revealed Belief Gaps
He Yuan (Beijing Normal University)
Yang Fuyu (Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications)
Jinye Zhu (Beijing Sansan Culture communication Co., Ltd. )
Hou Haitao (Beijing Normal University)

Thu June 2815:30-16:45FedalaEthnicity and Xenophobia
Session Chair: Ronit Waismel-Manor (Netanya Academic College)
Testing a Xenophobia Scale in Central Europe
Paulina Tabery (Public Opinion Research Centre, Institute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of Sciences)
Matouš Pilnáček (Public Opinion Research Centre, Institute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of Sciences)

Surveying Marginalized Populations in Tunisia: A Case Study from the International Foundation for Electoral Systems
Matthew Emery (IFES)

Race of the Interviewer Effects on Political Surveys in Malaysia
David Tully (US Department of State)
David Peng (D3 Systems)
Angela Ulrich (D3 Systems)

Discrimination Has A Name and A Face: Testing ethnic inequality in Israel and the Czech Republic
Israel Waismel-Manor (University of Haifa)
Aleš Kudrnáč (Czech Academy of Sciences)
Asaf Levanon (University of Haifa)

Using Big Data to sample ethnic minorities in western European countries: Muslims
Carsten Broich (Sample Solutions BV)
Maja Koceva

Thu June 2815:30-16:45LixusChallenges in Comparative Research l
Session Chair: Evi Scholz (GESIS)
Afghan Futures: Updates from the Latest ACSOR/D3 Polls in Afghanistan
Matthew Warshaw (D3-Designs, Data, Decisions)
Alexander Nisetich (D3-Designs, Data, Decisions)

OnDemand Sampling Hub for CATI projects globally
Carsten Broich (Sample Solutions BV)
Maja Koceva (Sample Solutions BV)

Sources of error in comparative surveys – an assessment of the relative impact of mode and translation on measurement invariance
Caroline Roberts (University of Lausanne)
Oriane Sarrasin (University of Lausanne)
Michèle Ernst Stähli (FORS)

Thu June 2815:30-16:45TingisPanel: Panel Discussion on Conclusions & Recommendations of House of Lords Enquiry on Political Polling & Digital Media
Session Chair: Patrick Sturgis (University of Southampton)
Panel discussion on conclusions & recommendations of House of Lords Enquiry on Political Polling & Digital Media
Patrick Sturgis (University of Southhampton)
Robert Worcester (Ipsos MORI)
Johnny Heald (ORB International)
Claire Durand (University of Montreal)

Fri June 2908:00-17:00Registration Desk open
Fri June 2909:00-10:15MazaganPlenary Keynote Session: Public Opinion in West Asia and North Africa
Session Chair: Tatiana Karabchuk (UAE University)

Karim El Aynaoui (Managing Director of the OCP Policy Center in Morocco)
Dr Michael Robbins (Princeton University, director of the Arab Barometer)
Dr. Samir Abu-Rumman (The pollster Gulf Opinions)
Fri June 2910:15-10:45Coffee Break
Fri June 2910:45-12:00MazaganMoroccan Public Opinion: What do International Surveys Tell Us?*
Session Chair: Aomar Ibourk (UCAM, OCP Policy Center)
Moroccan Public Opinion: What do International Surveys Tell Us?*
Aomar Ibourk (UCAM, OCP Policy Center)

Between Public Opinion and Reality, the Case of Morrocco
Khalid Soudi (l'Observatoire des Conditions de Vie de la Population, Haut commissariat au Plan)
Aomar Ibourk (UCAM, OCP Policy Center)

Morroccan Public Opinion; Teachings from the Current Trends
Ahmed Azrari (Association marocaine des économistes d'entreprise)

*Please note: This session will be in French. It will be followed by a discussion with the presence of representatives of various institutions.
Fri June 2910:45-12:00BahiaPanel: Comparative Survey Analysis Using WVS Data: Social Challenges and Global Value Shifts
Session Chair: Christian Haerpfer (President, WVS Association)
Deliberation Across the World - A Cross-National Examination of the Link Between Deliberation and Regime Legitimacy
Fabio Votta (University of Stuttgart)
Rosa Seitz (University of Stuttgart)

Forms and Trends of Political Participation in Global Perspective
Kseniya Kizilova (World Values Survey Association)

Information Exposure in MENA region countries
Juan Diez-Nicolas (ASEP)

The Role of Threat in the Human Empowerment Sequence
Kris Dunn (University of Leeds)

Fri June 2910:45-12:00FedalaWar, Terrorism and Conflict
Session Chair: Elena Damian (KU Leuven)
The Rise and Fall of ISIS in Iraq: What Iraqi Public Opinion Tells US
Karl Kaltenthaler (University of Akron/Case Western Reserve University)
Munqith Dagher (IIACSS)

Cyprus Lessons: How to melt a frozen conflict
Colin Irwin (University of Liverpool)

The interplay between media-related perceptions and feelings of polarization in international conflicts. Results from a study among German and Greece citizens
Marco Dohle (University of Duesseldorf)
Ole Kelm (University of Duesseldorf)
Uli Bernhard (University of Applied Science and Arts Hannover)
Bjoern Klein (University of Duesseldorf)

Fri June 2910:45-12:00LixusIdeology and Culture
Session Chair: Yariv Tsfati (University of Haifa)
Beyond Left and Right: Constructing a Contemporary U.S. Voter Typology Using Cluster Analysis
Ayellet Pelled (University of Wisconsin - Madison)
Song Wang (University of Wisconsin - Madison)
Hyesun Choung (University of Wisconsin - Madison)
Josephine Lukito (University of Wisconsin - Madison)
Megan Duncan (University of Wisconsin - Madison)
Yin Wu (University of Wisconsin - Madison)

Culture and Politics in the U.S.: Geographic Identity and Aspirations vs. Living There
William Eveland (Ohio State University)

After Same-Sex Marriage Legalized: Institutional Change and Gender Ideology in 34 Industrialized Countries
Wen Cheng Lin (National Chengchi University)
Thung Hong Lin (Institute of Sociology, Academia Sinica)

What Do Independents Care: Explaining Independents' Issue Positions and Voting Behaviors
Yin Wu (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Hyesun Choung (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

Left-Right Political Orientations in China: An Empirical Study of Chinese Netizens
Peinan Wang (Tsinghua University)

Fri June 2910:45-12:00TingisReligion and Public Opinion
Session Chair: Tatiana Karabchuk (UAE University)
Explaining Western European Views on Muslim Religious Clothing
Jonathan Evans (Pew Research Center)Scott Gardner (Pew Research Center)Neha Sahgal (Pew Research Center)Ariana Salazar (Pew Research Center)Kelsey Jo Starr (Pew Research Center)

Nasser or Qutb? Explaining Popular Support for Religious Parties in the Arab World
Tristan Guerra (Université Grenoble-Alpes)
Max-Valentin Robert (Université Grenoble-Alpes)

Fri June 2912:00-13:30RestaurantLunch
-Poster Sesion
Spread of fake news on Twitter during the 2016 presidential election: The case of #pizzagate
Porismita Borah (Washington State University)
Itai Himelboim (University of Georgia )
Meredith Yiran Wang (Washington State University)

Public opinion and migration: the case study from Slovenian perspective
Živa Broder (University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences)
Simona Zavratnik (University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences)
Rebeka Falle Zorman (University of Ljubljana, Faculty of Social Sciences)

Linking Public Opinion and Foreign Policy in Russia
Anna Efimova (Higher Scool of Economics)

Changing Immigration Laws and their Impact on Attitudes Within Qatar's Sponsorship System
Semsia Al-Ali Mustafa (Social and Economic Survey Research Institute (SESRI) Qatar University)
Abdoulaye Diop (Social and Economic Survey Research Institute (SESRI) Qatar University)
T.L. Kien (Social and Economic Survey Research Institute (SESRI) Qatar University)

Social Media Sharing and Corrective Action Hypothesis

Challenges when Interviewing Migrant Workers in Qatar: Third-Party Presence Effect
T.L. Kien (Social and Economic Survey Research Institute (SESRI) Qatar University)Šemsia Al-Ali Mustafa (Social and Economic Survey Research Institute (SESRI) Qatar University)
Abdoulaye Diop (Social and Economic Survey Research Institute (SESRI) Qatar University)

Labor Camp Surveys in GCC Countries: Group Quarter Sub-sampling
Abdoulaye Diop (Social and Economic Survey Research Institute (SESRI) Qatar University)
T.L. Kien (Social and Economic Survey Research Institute (SESRI) Qatar University)Šemsia Al-Ali Mustafa (Social and Economic Survey Research Institute (SESRI) Qatar University)

World Values Survey Wave 7: New Research Horizons and Methodological Challenges
Kseniya Kizilova (World Values Survey Association)

Institutional trust in the Middle East and North Africa: A Longitudinal Multilevel Analysis.

Fri June 2913:30-14:45BahiaSocial Media and Public Opinion ll
Session Chair: Tim Reeskens (Tilburg University)
Digital Politics in North Africa: Possibilities To Reverse Subversion
Ibrahim Saleh (Nile University in Egypt)

Social Media, Citizen Engagement, and the March for Science
Paul Brewer (University of Delaware)
Barbara Ley (University of Delaware)

Writing on the Wall: Exploring the relationship between attitude toward Facebook use and political participation
Azmat Rasul (Valdosta State University)

Fri June 2913:30-14:45FedalaPolitical Conversation and Expression
Session Chair: Nicole Podschuweit (University of Erfurt)
Capturing interpersonal political communication: Results of a covert field observation
Nicole Podschuweit (University of Erfurt)

How private political talk becomes public political expression
Chen Min (College of Public Administration)

Testing the Contact Hypothesis: How Contact with the Other Party Reduces Affective Polarization in the American Electorate
Matthew Barnidge (The University of Alabama)

Outer voice and Inner voice: the influence of political efficacy and political trust on college students' political expression
Jiayuan Wen (HongKong Baptist University)

Fri June 2913:30-14:45LixusAgenda Setting and Issue Ownership
Session Chair: Senja Post (University of Zurich)
Agenda-setting in Russian media
Anastasia Kazun (Higher School of Economics)

A study on new agenda-setting model in the era of social media in China
LU GAN (Communication University of China)

Issue ownership of parties and candidates in the 2017 French elections
Romain Lachat (Sciences Po, Cevipof)

Fri June 2913:30-14:45TingisParticipation
Session Chair: Tom Smith (NORC at the University of Chicago)
The Impact of Emotion on Political Participation: Testing the moderating effects of news consumption and political knowledge
Xiaomei Sun (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Stephanie Tsang (Hong Kong Baptist University)

Political Efficacy and Non-Electoral Participation in Chile: Extending Results to New Democracies
Pedro Fierro (Adolfo Ibanez University)
Jaime Lindh (Fundacion Piensa)
Patricio Aroca (Adolfo Ibanez University)

Disagreement and Political Participation in Chile
Nicolle Etchegaray (UDP)
Andrés Scherman (UDP)

The factors of electoral mobilization: The Tunisian Case
Nebil Belaam (EMRHOD Consulting)

Fri June 2914:45-15:15Coffee Break
Fri June 2915:15-16:45BahiaVoting
Session Chair: Azmat Rasul (Valdosta State University)
The effect of socio-tropic and ego-tropic economic perceptions on presidential approval and vote intention. The Case of Chile, 1990-2017
Patricio Navia (New York University)
Gonzalo Espinoza-Bianchini (Universidad Diego Portales)
Maria José Sánchez (Universidad Diego Portales)

Voting Intention Polls in the 2018 Italian Parliamentary Election
Giancarlo Gasperoni (University of Bologna)

Likely Voter Models in a Multiparty System and in Unstable Conditions: A Case Study Using the Czech General Election of 2017
Paulina Tabery (Public Opinion Research Centre, Institute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of Sciences)
Matouš Pilnáček (Public Opinion Research Centre, Institute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of Sciences)

What Led to Support for the Front National n the 2017 French election? – Testing Old and New Explanations
Pavlos Vasilopoulos (Cevipof, Sciences Po)
Martial Foucault (Cevipof, Sciences Po )
George Marcus (Williams College)
Nicholas Valentino (University of Michigan)

Why do Europhiles Vote for Eurosceptic Parties? The Case of the 2014 European Election
Anne-Marie Houde (Université de Montréal)
Laura Uyttendale (Université catholique de Louvain)

Fri June 2915:15-16:45FedalaVariation in Measurement Between Contexts
Session Chair: Andres Shoai (San Pablo CEU University-CONVERED Project)
From Cross-national ex-post Survey Harmonization to Substantive Analyses: A Roadmap and Empirical Illustration
Marta Kolczynska (Polish Academy of Sciences)

How can we explain differences in institutional trust between regions: Looking at ways to characterize countries using longitudinal data
Claire Durand (Université de Montréal)
Paul Pelletier (Private consultant)

The Elite Model of Opinion Leadership: Testing Validity across European Countries and Topic Areas
Frank Mangold (University of Hohenheim)

Reevaluating Cross-National Variation in Political Knowledge- The Importance of Number of Cases and Imputation for Missing Responses
Guilherme Russo (Vanderbilt University)

Fri June 2915:15-16:45LixusMedia Effects
Session Chair: Yilang Peng (University of Pennsylvania)
Social Media and Political Learning: Roles of News Elaboration and Curatorial News Use
Chang Sup Park (Bloomsburg University of Pennsylvania)
Barbara Kaye (University of Tennessee Knoxville)

Are we not angry enough about mass shooting? Message frames, emotional consistency, and public support for gun policies
MIN-HSIN SU (UW-Madison)

Filter Bubbles as engines of public media criticism? The interplay of SNS use, perceived online opinion climate, and media skepticism on voicing alternative positions online
Marc Ziegele (Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz)
Christina Koehler (Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz)
Viola Granow (Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz)
Oliver Quiring (Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz)
Christian Schemer (Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz)
Nikolaus Jackob (Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz)
Tanjev Schultz (Johannes Gutenberg University of Mainz)

No Use in Staying: Media Effects on ‘Winners’ and ‘Losers’ of Globalization and Voting Intentions for a Dutch EU Exit
Andreas Goldberg (Amsterdam School of Communication Research)
Erika van Elsas (Amsterdam School of Communication Research)
Franziska Marquart (Amsterdam School of Communication Research)
Anna Brosius (Amsterdam School of Communication Research)
Claes de Vreese (Amsterdam School of Communication Research)

Media Use and Moral Image Perception: A Model Moderated by Educational Level
Weijia Li (Tsinghua University, School of Journalism and Communication)
Min Hang (Tsinghua University, School of Journalism and Communication)

Fri June 2915:15-16:45TingisChallenges in Comparative Research lI
Session Chair: Ariana Salazar (Pew Research Center)
Transparency and replicability in cross-national survey research: Demarcation of problems and possible solutions
Elena Damian (KU Leuven)
Bart Meuleman (KU Leuven)
Wim van Oorschot (KU Leuven)

Global work orientations over two decades: Insights into the ISSP work orientation modules
Evi Scholz (GESIS)

A Searchable Repository of Scale Translations in Multilingual Surveys
Pisana FERRARI (cApStAn)
Elica KRAJCEVA (cApStAn)

Godly Governance - A Cross-National Examination of Religious Politics in Arab Muslim-Majority Countries
Fabio Votta (University of Stuttgart)

Fri June 2919:00-21:00MazaganAward Banquet
Sat June 3008:00-12:00Registration Desk open
Sat June 3009:00-10:15MazaganElectoral Polls: Problems and Solutions
Session Chair: Jiayuan Wen (Hong Kong Baptist University)
Pre-election Polling Problems in Chile
Michael Traugott (University of Michigan)
Claire Durand (University of Montreal)
Timothy Johnson (University of Illinois - Chicago)
Alejandro Moreno (ITAM)

Current problems with electoral polls and how to solve them
Sara Morais Vargas (GAD3)
Narcisco Michavila (GAD3)

Sat June 3009:00-10:15FedalaPanel: Freedom to Publish Public Opinion Research: The State of the World
Session Chair: Timothy Johnson (University of Illinois-Chicago)
Nébil Belaam (Emrhod Consulting, Tunis, Tunisia)
Marita Carballo (Voice ! Research Consultancy)
Robert Chung (University of Hong Kong)
Yuliya Dudaronak (ORB International)
Freedom to Publish Public Opinion Research: The State of the World
Timothy Johnson (University of Illinois at Chicago)

Sat June 3009:00-10:15LixusPanel: The European Values Study: A project that bridges past and future. 40 years of values research and methodological innovations
Session Chair: Vera Lomazzi (GESIS-Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences)
A Growing Educational Divide? Evidence from the Netherlands from 5 EVS Waves
Tim Reeskens (Tilburg University)
Inge Sieben (Tilburg University)
Loek Halman (Tilburg University)

Questions in context: location and order effects in the measurement of values
Alexandre Pollien (FORS)
Michèle Ernst Stähli (FORS)
Michael Ochsner (FORS)
Patricia Milbert (FORS)

The European Values Study from 1981 to 2026: Methodological developments
Ruud Luijkx (European Values Study at Tilburg University)
Vera Lomazzi (GESIS/EVS)

Using Web Probing to Elucidate Respondents’ Understanding of “Minorities“ in Cross-Cultural Comparative Research
Michael Braun (GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences)
Dorothée Behr
Katharina Meitinger
Klara Raiber

Sat June 3010:15-10:45Coffee Break
Sat June 3010:45-12:00FedalaPublic Opinion Formation and Change
Session Chair: Michaela Maier (U of Koblenz-Landau)
Changes in National Pride across Times and Country
Tom W. Smith (NORC)Jibum Kim (Sungkyunkwan University)Sori Kim (Sungkyunkwan University)

Sat June 3010:45-12:00LixusJournalism
Session Chair: Cornelia Mothes (TU Dresden)
Exploring the Changing Role of Journalism Performance in Egypt: From Watchdog to Dogwatch
Ibrahim Saleh (Nile University in Egypt)

Same Candidates, Different Faces: Surface Visual Bias in Media Coverage of Presidential Candidates with Computer Vision Techniques
Yilang Peng (University of Pennsylvania)

Self-censorship or provocation? Influences of audience hostility on journalists’ editorial work
Senja Post (University of Zurich)
Hans Mathias Kepplinger (University of Mainz)

The framing of political news in a transitional democracy: The Chilean case
Maria Elena Gronemeyer (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile)

Sat June 3010:45-12:00TingisCampaigns and Elections
Session Chair: Robyn Baragwanath (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
Brexit, the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election and the Media: How Leading International News Media Covered Major Candidate and Policy-Making Issues
Thomas Christie (University of Texas Arlington)

Do vote intention polls influence voters’ electoral decisions?
Patrick Sturgis
Will Jennings
Marzieh Mussav-Rizi

“State elections in the shadow of the European migrant crisis? On the role of federal politics in the media coverage of the state election campaign”
Annemarie Wiedicke (Universität Erfurt)

When do campaigns are perceived as negative? An analysis of 59 elections worldwide
Jürgen Maier (University of Koblenz-Landau)
Alessandro Nai (University of Amsterdam)

Sat June 3012:00-13:30RestaurantLunch
Sat June 3013:30-14:45MazaganDigital and Social Media ll
Session Chair: Mark Gill (King's College London)
Party pledges in the media and on Twitter during the 2016 Presidential Elections in Spain
Andreu Casero-Ripolles (Universitat Jaume I de Castello)
Eulàlia P. Abril (University of Illinois at Chicago )
Petia Kostadinova (University of Illinois at Chicago )

Online Mobilization and Interests Claim in China:Case on Panyu Residents Boycott Waste-to-Energy Plant Program Near Their Neighborhood

Understanding Online Privacy Concerns within Political Contexts
Wenting Yu (City University of Hong Kong)

Sat June 3013:30-14:45LixusDemocracy and Democratization
Session Chair: Yashwant Deshmukh (CVoter Foundation)
“Faultlines in Democratisation” Exploring maturity of latest electoral verdicts of through AII (Anti Incumbency Index) by comparative mapping of anti-Incumbency sentiment in Public Opinion from UK, Nepal, Tunisia, Pakistan & Malaysia
Yashwant Deshmukh (CVoter Foundation)
Gaura Shukla (CVoter Foundation)

How people evaluate democracy: An assessment of the effects of economic performance and quality of democracy on satisfaction with democracy
Pablo Christmann (GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences)

Democratization and Identity Politics: Comparison of Hong Kong and Taiwan
Francis Yin (Shenzhen University)

Fake News, Fake Democracy: The Relationship Between Perceptions of the Media and Dissatisfaction with Democracy in Four Countries
Matthew Barnidge (The University of Alabama)
Hernando Rojas (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

Sat June 3013:30-14:45TingisData Quality
Session Chair: Yulia Baskakova (VCIOM)
Measuring social desirability bias in electoral surveys
Yulia Baskakova (VCIOM)

Identifying Data Falsification in Face-to-face Through Audio Checks in Complex Environments: a study of 10 countries in Africa
Yuliya Dudaronak (ORB International)

Improving Data Quality for Open-ended Questions in Short Message Service (SMS) Surveys: An Experimental Study
Tavian MacKinnon (GeoPoll)Matthew Harbor (GeoPoll)

Sat June 3014:45-16:00MazaganMember Meeting (coffee break)